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20121027
20121104
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in this election. we'll get a no poll, 46-48 president obama in the lead. that is one of the smaller leads, but the overall average obama at 48.9% and romney at 46.6%. even there about a 3 point lead, two to 3 point lead in ohio, so that's pretty good. what's happening in ohio? obviously romney's trying to undo that with an onslaught of ads. >> here in ohio, president obama's failed economic and trade policies with china destroyed thousands of jobs. >> i am here in ohio supporting obama for his reelection. >> the question ohio families are asking is who can bring back the jobs. >> in 2008, millions of ohioans voted before election day. i need your help to keep moving forward. >> cenk: earlier today i talked to dennis kucinich, congressman from ohio and asked him about the incredible spending, $18.5 million by romney campaign and 11.4 by the obama campaign. i asked him what that says about our political system. >> well, the fact that in this campaign over $4 billion may be spent in pursuit of elections that's a major problem for urodeles, because essentially votes are being bought by those
: if obama is behind in the polls, why doesn't he look worried? the swing state fire wall. that's ahead. at cepacol we've heard people are going to extremes to relieve their sore throats. oh, okay, you don't need to do that. but i don't want any more of the usual lozenges and i want new cooling relief! ugh. how do you feel? now i'm cold. hmm. this is a better choice. new cepacol sensations cools instantly, and has an active ingredient that stays with you long after the lozenge is gone. ahhh. not just a sensation sensational relief. nah, he's probably got... [ dennis' voice ] allstate. they can bundle all your policies together. lot of paperwork. actually... [ dennis' voice ] an allstate agent can help do the switching and paperwork for you. well, it probably costs a lot. [ dennis' voice ] allstate can save you up to 30% more when you bundle. well, his dog's stupid. [ dennis' voice ] poodles are one of the world's smartest breeds. ♪ ♪ bundle and save with an allstate agent. are you in good hands? [ female announcer ] pillsbury crescents fabulous but...w
: if obama is behind in the polls, why doesn't he look worried? the swing state fire wal rich, chewy caramel rolled up in smooth milk chocolate. don't forget about that payroll meeting. rolo.get your smooth on. also in minis. >> eliot: even ceos like jamie dimon are saying it. mitt romney's tax cuts be disastrous i'm be on realtime with bill maher thomas jefferson said that a successful democracy depended on an informed electorate. our country's future depends on you. to help you make informed decisions, watch current tv's politically direct lineup. only on current tv. take the time to learn about the issues. don't just vote, vote smart. ?d >> eliot: have mitt romney and his anti-tax rasputin grove norquist finally met their match? for years norquist has almost single-handedly led our congress down a destructive one-dimensional path of refusal to consider any revenue increases as part of meaningful fiscal policy. he has ham strong every effort to address long term issues. the basic inequities of our tax code the failure to invest sufficiently in the building blocks of our future, entitl
to be worried if the polls have anything to say about it. president obama is ahead six points in iowa. that's coming from the nbc news "wall street journal" morris poll. the president's also up by three in wisconsin and two in new hampshire. two things helping him out here are early voting and the gender gap. president has a double digit lead with women in all three states and in iowa, he leads with early voters by a full 30 points. more bill press is coming up. stay with us. (vo) brought to you by metlife. stay tuned for the answer. (vo) brought to you by metlife. jack you're a little boring. boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire ♪ [ male announcer ] use any citi® card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts. more events. more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with a citi card. [ c
in ohio. and that's just one poll, the cnn poll but a combination of polls still has president obama comfortably up. >> four polls in ohio two twos, a four and a five. >> cenk: then in nevada president obama has a three-point lead in nevada. if he leads in nevada and ohio, it's a no-brainer, he's a winner. the electoral college is on his side. on the other side, meat loaf is on romney's side. he's about to do one of the worst renditions i've ever seen of any song. let's watch. ♪ everybody sing ♪ america ♪ america ♪ god ♪ his grace on thee ♪ crown thy good ♪ from sea ♪ from sea ♪ to shining ♪ sea ♪ >> that--a couple of things to say. first of all he blew the lyrics point one, not the song. romney in the beginnini, u co d tellultehahameat loaf is going off the deepened, romney is frigid, if we let that video continue romney quickly moves to the other end. >> two points you made are good, two out of the three. >> cenk: i'm sorry i had to subject the audience to that. unbelievable. >> were they trolling his campaign? >> cenk: like they were trying to embarrass romne
, if indeed the polls show that president obama's advantage among women has disappeared, or to put it another way, that mitt romney is going to either win or equal, right, president obama's record with the women's vote, i think that would be -- i think the facts show that would be a disaster for american women in terms of their standing and if they go that way, it's almost -- i hate to say it it's almost they'll deserve what they get. >> right. i can't -- i certainly don't think that the democrats have not said enough about it. you know? it seems like every campaign email and video reminds women of republican's record on rape -- not record on rapes, but comments on rape and records on abortion and birth control. and you are talking about health care medicare by disproportionately affect women. women tend to outlive men, and these programs are strongly relied on by women. >> bill: there may be other issues where they are close where they stand o are they similar in position or there's not that much of a big difference, when it comes to women's issues there is
president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at the days that the president has been ahead in the poll, even in the margin of error. >> cenk: so let's get a sense of where they stand. obama is leading 48-45 according to the detroit news. according to epic--is that your poll. >> that's a poll i took earlier today. six-point poll. >> cenk: and not michael's poll. 48-42, six-point lead. when you go to wisconsin 51-43 and 51-43. that's marquette. >> that just came out. that's a poll that a lot of journalists in wisconsin--i just talked to someone in wisconsin lee berquist said we're all waiting for that poll. that poll is definitive. >> cenk: so wisconsin look
by a wide margin in the first poll. did you know that obama in the same poll won the third poll by an even larger margin. but you make a good point. as to how it was covered. with obama, it was covered like a disaster of epic proportions never before seen in politics. and it was not. you know. yes, he was not on his game. anybody can say that. this is -- as you said, you're describing romney in the third debate. he either agreed completely or threw out a word or two that looked like he looked things up on his smart phone. romney's sole plan seems to be he'll be there and not obama. no doubt america will seem stronger with a man named willard in charge. somebody did the graphic but everything he said but i'm white. >> yeah. that's pretty much it. and you know, i just want to go up to people that are thinking of voting for romney and going what if obama said i have a plan to fix the economy but i'm not going to tell you any of the details. >> stephanie: right. >> would you think we were crazy for voting for hi
: well according to most polls and surveys, president obama and governor romney are in a dead heat for the election. but survey monkey does have useful and unusually insights on the race. dave goldberg joins us, great to have you on the show. >> thanks. >> gavin: you're suggesting that the swing states are tighter than some of the other sort of the blended averages of the other polls. >> what we're seeing right now the swing states are very tight. right now, you know, we're showing most of the same toss up states. we're showing romney lightly ahead in ohio. but we're showing obama ahead in virginia. these are within the margin of error, plus or minus 1%. the national number which has been consistent, we show obama .8%. what we're seeing is some places are very different. florida, we have consistently felt solid romney for a long time. a lot of people still have that as a toss up. >> gavin: this last week's poll that shows obama lead. >> yes yes. i think the race is closer than some of the pollsters and pundits say. i think it's too close to call. i don't think we would say that oba
, this evening, shows president obama with a 2 percentage point lead in florida. 48% to 46%. the sunshine state's 29 electoral votes key to mitt romney's hopes. in ohio, that same poll shows president obama also up only 2 but two percentage points. 47% to 45%. in wisconsin where the president started his post-hurricane campaign today an abc news "wall street journal" maris poll has him up 49 to 46%. but governor romney is leading in colorado which is another state president obama visited today. the lead there is just one point, 47% to 46%. that's according to reuters ipso. back with us our three political junkies extraordinaire. pollster david herman, joe garifoli. from all of the polls, there were 29 polls that came out. you are the pollster. this momentum, is it baked in? >> the advantage obama has is baked in inn a lot of the states. i would be shocked to see romney take ohio. and if he can't take ohio, it is really hard to see what his path is. >> jennifer: virginia? >> i think obama takes virginia as well an
$50,000 a year. the other fresh ohio poll from the conservative-leaning rasmussen has president obama and governor romney tied. we'll go to cleveland and henry gomez. welcome inside the watch "the war room." >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: you're welcome. who has the advantage, president obama or governor romney. >> you have to give it to president obama virtue of the fact that he won here four years ago, and his organizers never left the state. they were heavily involved last year about an issue to repeal collective bargaining restrictions that the republicans placed into law. >> jennifer: are you guys getting tired of seeing these candidates there every single day, several times a day? >> they're everywhere. as you mentioned the president had three events here today. mitt romney and paul ryan, i think just finished up an event down state in cincinnati, where there were huge crowd from what i'm told. tomorrow we're going to have a president here up here in the cleveland area, romney is back on sunday. paul ryan is here all weekend. and then on monday both campaigns are going to
. >> the polls in nevada, the last eight polls have obama head he which is staggering in many ways. this was a pretty red state until clinton won it in '92 and '96, but did he that with ross perot being on the ticket. and then obama won it by 12 points, and the demographics have changed considerably. it's much more of a latino state, and it seems like it will stay a blue state. it's still close obama on average just three points. the unemployment in nevada is just under 12%. in a sense the president shouldn't even be competitive. >> cenk: but the demographics are huge. >> yes. >> cenk: when we come back, the elbow of the day. i'll give it away, it's on an republican head. but whwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwhwh ?d
" is looking at, not just one poll but a collection. 48.4%-45.7% lead for president obama. the likelihood that president obama has an actual lead based on the polls is 97%. that doesn't mean that he has a 97% chance of winning ohio. it just means that he has 97% of leading today in ohio. now wisconsin 49.8%-46.0%. probability of the lead today is 98.5%. then you go to i had iowa. another somewhat comfortable lead for president obama. probability of his lead is 95.3%. and then in nevada, 49.7%-46.4%, and again 98.1% chance that he actually has got the lead in that state. when you look at 95% and above in the four states that he absolutely has to win--he could lose every other state, florida, virginia, all the other swing states, north carolina, he still gets 277 electoral votes and continues to be president of the united states. so as we get all those national polls that make people panic understand that this is a collection of polls and it doesn't look so bad. it looks pretty good, in fact. now of course, a deal now to cinch the deal in ohio they send bubba. >> we went to florida last nig
the party tuesday night. ♪ >> jennifer: let's take a closer look at one of the swing states where polls are showing president obama gaining, a new, very slight edge but gaining nonetheless and that's in florida. as of today the president is up by one point there, that's according to a new poll out today. romney was up as recently as this weekend. and a week ago republicans had a significant advantage in mail in ballots. but when early voting started last week there were lines around the block. >> we cut the typical advantage the republicans have by about 85% going into saturday the start of early vote. over 48 hours, we blew the doors off of early voting in 48 hours and took the advantage that republicans had and eliminated it. six days of early voting gone. >> jennifer: that is such great news. and as of today here is where early voting stands in florida. democrats make up 43% of all early voters so far. republicans make up 41%. big improve. now remember, early voting started on saturday, obviously today is wednesday, so they have had four full days of early voting
we're going to be competitive in michigan and a new ppp poll shows obama leading 53-45 correct? >> yes, it looks like the president is getting momentum once again. >> stephanie: not only is this a flat-out lie but insults the intelligence of people in places like michigan doesn't it? >> it certainly does. we're talking about hundreds of thousands of jobs that have been created as a result of the rescue, and the center for automotive research has claimed and documented that over a million jobs were saved as a result of that rescue and for mr. romney to put out ads about jobs going to china, when you have general motors coming out with a statement, you may have seen their statement that said, basically -- this is a quote -- clearly entered some parallel universe during these last few days so the companies are just outraged by these comments. >> stephanie: yeah. representative he went on to say no amount of campaign politics at its cynical worse will -- [ inaudible ]. have you ever seen car companies get into the middle of a campaign like this, but i feel l
. the latest real clear politics poll average has mitt romney beating president obama in florida 49 to 46.6%. in palm beach county the same county that caused people to accidentally vote for pat buchanan. we have reports that election officials there actually screwed up again. i'm joined by chris lahan who was the spokesman for vice president gore's 2000 campaign. thanks for coming inside "the war room." >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: so if they are messing up on the ballots, i'm sure it must be so embarrassing. >> yeah. in my view the election was effectively stolen, and now you are 12 years later in the exact same place having questions again. there are a large number of them who are jewish americans. some of them have been survivors of the holocaust, who tried to vote for al gore and then they couldn't have their votes put back to how they originally intended. so to be back in the same situation is a pretty good development. >> jennifer: absolutely. we were talking earlier in the show about the issue of legitimacy, and if the president ends up winning the el
problems with polling places. we talked about that earlier. i think it is frozen. obama's going to win. >> announcer: this is the "bill press show." successful democracy depended on an informed electorate. our country's future depends on you. to help you make informed decisions, watch current tv's politically direct lineup. only on current tv. take the time to learn about the issues. don't just vote, vote smart. >> bill: 33 minutes after the hour. tuesday, october 30. the day after hurricane sandy or maybe the first day of cleanup after hurricane sandy. we all survived and i hope all of you did too. 1-866-55-press. our toll free number. join the conversation here on the "full court press" at any time. we're coming to you live from our nation's capital. a wet and soggy nation's capital. and brought to you today by the international brotherhood of teamsters. yes, we all live better thanks to the great work of the men and women of the teamsters union under president jim hoffa building a better america. you can check out their goo
is [ inaudible ] with -- >> the guy who's numbers are too gay -- >> stephanie: yeah. seven polls released in ohio obama plus two, obama plus three, obama plus five hashtag not that complicated. he write ts now watch in frustration, only a single romney-leading poll probably from rasmussen. apparently the pollsters are all effeminate pollsters too. please stop letting facts get in the way of the gop narrative. >> for a numbers guy he has an awesome sense of humor. >> stephanie: yeah. [♪ "world news tonight" theme ♪] >> stephanie: after brutal polling day, romney team reassures they are going to win. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: not included on their list of romney advantages is being ahead in the polls. >> yeah. >> stephanie: romney's pollster said obama has are political environment problem, he has an intensity problem, image problem, and a ballot problem, and it will all add up to a chal edging tuesday next week. >> what is he talking about exactly. >> obama has an image problem? this from the romney camp. >> stephanie: right. new surveys in which obama held a solid
iowa and its six electoral votes. i want to talk about that for a second because the latest poll from iowa has president obama leading 50% to 46%. that still is within the gravis marketing survey 4-point margin of error. it is a state that the obama war room won four years ago. it needs to keep out of romney's hands to better its odds of winning re-election. for more perspective on the final seven days of the campaign, we're going to turn to one of our favorite political reporters, carla mayor nucci. it was interesting because of course if mitt romney does not win ohio, i mean, he has to win iowa. >> this has been a battleground for how long now? those early voting -- early voting. >> jennifer: it is only six electoral votes. early voting in iowa is largely in the president's favor. >> same thing in colorado. the obama campaign has that ground game down. particularly, i went door-to-door with latino canvas workers. they were just getting it out and working like crazy. i think the obama campaign has got their s
. in one way president obama's been -- has been able to, you know, kind of stop whatever poll momentum romney seemed to be getting or at least we were all talking about 50 different polls from ohio. you don't hear about them anymore. since president obama had a lead in most of these swing states, i think political analysts would say it is probably -- doesn't hurt president obama any. on the other side of the net mitt romney has been able to unpack in ohio for a few days, shake a few more hands kiss a few more babies, give a few more press conferences and speeches there. we'll see how it plays out in election night. right now i don't think it's had the impact on this election. it is just -- and votingwise. at least there's no evidence of it yet. we'll see, you know, the stock market opens tomorrow. how will the markets respond to this? you know, you can have a -- the economy rebounding and the president with good p.r., could be a dismal stock market going down and people get jittery and think they want change. but i could
hole in ohio that showed obama ahead by three points, but there was still 7% or 8% still undecided in this poll in ohio. i guess some people are still out there scratching their chins, thinking about what they're going to do. >> eliot: i was back when i was in the arena in that game ways skeptical that on the last weekend the undecided would even turn out. i would look at the raw nubs and say that's how it's going to break. i hope i'm not proven wrong, that the president will take ohio and be okay. do the job numbers matter politically? everyone was waiting. will they matter? >> yes, i think they will matter. you know, around the margins, i don't think that the average americans who are more interested in this weekend's football games are sitting around obsessing about the jobs numbers and the readjustments from august and september the way you and i are. but i do think they matter. i think they that create a narrative that says this is a recovery. this is an economy that has been gaining 150 jobs per month this year, and that's a pretty good number given where we were--it's a very
obama his religion, his race. how many people in america think he's jewish? that's great. the racial polls they're not so great. when do people get those racist ideas to begin with? >> frankly when you look at colin powell you have to wonder if that's an endorsement based on issues or if he has a slightly different reason for preferring president obama. >> what reason would that be? ♪ ♪ the trucks are going farther. the new 2013 ram 1500. ♪ ♪ with the best-in-class fuel economy. engineered to move heaven and earth. ♪ ♪ guts. glory. ram. [ male announcer ] red lobster's hitting the streets to tell real people about our new 15 under $15 menu. oh my goodness! oh my gosh this looks amazing! that's a good deal! [ man ] wow! it is so good! [ male announcer ] our new maine stays! 15 entrees under $15 seafood, chicken and more! oo! the tilapia with roasted vegetables! i'm actually looking at the wood grilled chicken with portobello wine sauce. you so fascinated by the prices, you keep rambling on! i know! -that pork chop was great! -no more fa
. according to a new poll from cnn, president obama is three points ahead of governor romney among likely voters, 50%-47%. the same survey shows president obama winning women there by 16 points and lower income voters by 30 points. now governor romney on the other hand leads with men by 13 points. he has an advantage of six points with people making more than $50,000 a year. the other fresh ohio poll from the conservative-leaning rasmussen has president obama and governor romney tied. we'll go to cleveland and henry gomez. welcome inside the watch "the war room." >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: you're welcome. who has the advantage, president obama or governor romney. >> you have to give it to president obama virtue of the fact that he won here four years ago, and his organizers never left the state. they were heavily involved last year about an issue to repeal collective bargaining restrictions that the republicans placed into law. >> jennifer: are you guys getting tired of seeing these candidates there every single day, several times a day? >> they're everywhere. as you mentioned
obama is going to win because that poll is an outliar and national poll witness be polls in the electoral battleground actually have president obama winning right? >> that's exactly what he was saying. these guys follow lines and sporting events. they were great to let us come in and do this. for me, it was incredibly cool place just to be. what he was saying is that it might seem contradict arery to some when you see that gallop poll. he knows those money guys are following the polls we see at the state level by the way national polls now. the gallop poll is an outliar and one of nine or 10 national polls, the others a different story. >> cenk: the closer we get to election is you guys were alluding to, the more certain the markets become and the more certain polls become. one of the reasons the main reason the polls are not a certainty is because things can change in the next five days, but as we get close to the election, they become more and more certain don't they? >> eventually, you run out of events that are going to change minds or sway people. we basically have a
in a week or so to one candidate having won the day in tracking polls. that was mr. obama. >> he's not. >> stephanie: obama still has a 73.1% of winning re-election. he's at 294 electoral to romney's 243. >> fact checkers say -- >> stephanie: nate silver is a fact checker. >> oh, okay. >> i'm getting a bunch of tweets saying we do have early voting in california. >> stephanie: oh well it seems like we're too misinformed to have a show like this. >> i looked it up. i can't seem to find it. >> a bunch of people are tweeting saying california has in person early voting. >> stephanie: i'm going now. you guys finish the show. >> i'll double check that. >> my polling place is currently a school right now. >> korean baptist church. >> stephanie: the latest poll out this morning -- i can't remember which one it was has obama up five in ohio. another one. anyway. so there! >> california, not los angeles? >> stephanie: maybe. we'll find out during the break so we seem somewhat more informed when we come back. >> go to
this crucial swing state of colorado where the real clear politics poll average has president obama and mitt romney tied at 47.8%, tied. joining me from denver, we'll discuss the election in the mile-high city, is the progressive journalist david sorota. thanks for joining us. >> thanks for having me. >> jennifer: why is this race such a dead heat this year? >> i think that people are asking questions about the economy. the economy hasn't been so good. mitt romney after the first debate had a huge surge, and a president in a tough economy, getting reelected against a guy who has shape shifted from the primary to the general election it is always going to be a tough battle. i didn't think it would be this close. i thought president obama would still win by four points he still may, but things sure tightened up after the first debate. >> jennifer: libertarian presidential candidate gary johnson is a factor in colorado. who is he helping and who is he hurting? >> the conversionalism would say that gary johnson would help president obama. but gary johnson should be noted co
a poll. they all overwhelmingly want obama except for pakistan. [ ♪ dramatic ♪ ] >> why? >> stephanie: i guess because he said we shouldn't move heaven and earth to get one man. obama said if we have actionable intelligence, we'll go in with or without pakistan's permission. mitt romney is like that's rude. >> i hope pakistan isn't voting in this election. >> who knows with karl rove. >> could get them to vote. mail in. mail in voting. >> stephanie: you would think the muslim socialist kenya would be the one -- >> you're right. i'm moving to kenya. >> exactly. >> who do you think you're fooling with this ballot? >> stephanie: really jim? bob in san francisco. hi bob. >> caller: hi. voting for romney because you blame obama for the economy is like gray davis in 1999. blaming enron and what they did to california on recalling him. >> he was the one who tried to prevent that disaster. >> stephanie: schwarzenegger turned out to be so great. [ wah wah ] >> a few things in his nature. what exactly would yo
. >> really? >> stephanie: yes, indeed. david bender real quick with some breaking polling news for us. good morning, david bender. >> happy halloween everybody. i've got some candy for you! this just in. the cbs quinnipiac and quinnipiac, the most accurate poll two years ago. the most accurate. obama up by one in florida. two in virginia. five in ohio. >> ooh! >> just in. >> i hope that holds. >> that's candy for everybody. it doesn't mean that we stop working. this is before people get to see his andrew shepherd moment of the last three days. >> stephanie: that's right. he is the president -- so take that. thank you. >> happy halloween. hi elvira. >> hi. that's a great treat. thank you. >> stephanie: make sure you keep your bathrobe closed when you answer the door tonight. >> that's a good point. i'm closing it now. >> stephanie: love you. >> love you guys, bye. >> you gave me a great idea with the romney poo bags i have. i'm going to -- you know, you could go around the neighborhood and if people have the
Search Results 0 to 32 of about 33 (some duplicates have been removed)

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